Wed, 8 February 2023
Dunning-Kruger Effect Hello, this is Hall T. Martin with the Startup Funding Espresso -- your daily shot of startup funding and investing. The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias defined by Wikipedia as the tendency for unskilled individuals to overestimate their own ability and the tendency for experts to underestimate their own ability. Investors reviewing deals in an unfamiliar sector often consider their skills to be greater than they are. Investors who are familiar with a sector often don’t realize how strong their perceptions are. To overcome the Dunning-Kruger effect, an investor should slow down and take time to analyze the deal more carefully. Write out the assumptions about the deal and test each one to see if it holds true. Investors often impute their own industry practices on the startup’s industry which does not always hold true. Mentally assume you know less than you think you do. Reach out to others who know the industry better to understand it.
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