Wed, 26 April 2023
Normalcy Bias Hello, this is Hall T. Martin with the Startup Funding Espresso -- your daily shot of startup funding and investing. The normalcy bias is defined by Wikipedia as the refusal to plan for, or react to, a disaster that has never happened before. First-time startups suffer from the normalcy bias as they have limited experience with what can happen to startups over time. Founders with previous experience tend to prepare better for the unexpected as they have encountered it before. To overcome normalcy bias consider the following: Plan for all potential contingencies such as What to do if revenue goes in half. What to do if revenue goes up 4X in one year. What if your systems are hacked? Know your financial numbers and how they interact, particularly what costs are fixed and variable. Write out your contingency plans and add to them as you hear about challenges other companies face. Explore what you don’t know. Reach out to experienced founders to explore what you don’t know you don’t know. There’s no way to prepare for every possibility but you can focus on those events that are probabilities.
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